Gladbach have been bad travelers this season and we think this could be their undoing on Tuesday. Saarbrucken have gained immense confidence from the last two rounds and have been in this position as recently as 2020. We think that the home side will continue their fairytale run in the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saarbrucken win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saarbrucken win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.29%) and 3-1 (4.81%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Saarbrucken in this match.

Result
Saarbrucken	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
39.48% ( 0.06)	22.24% ( -0.05)	38.28% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 68.41% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.11% (

0.29)

31.89% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.56% (

0.34)

53.43% (

-0.34)

Saarbrucken Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.96% (

0.15)

17.03% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.81% (

0.27)

47.18% (

-0.27)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.45% (

0.13)

17.54% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.92% (

0.22)

48.07% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Saarbrucken 39.48%

Borussia Monchengladbach 38.28%

Draw 22.24%

Saarbrucken	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 39.48%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 38.28%