Coppa Italia | Second Round

Oct 31, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
4 - 0
Sampdoria

Ikwuemesi (28'), Tchaouna (45+1', 67'), Cabral (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Giordano (44'), Depaoli (53'), Ghilardi (69')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Salernitana and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Salernitana
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sampdoria

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Sudtirol 3-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, October 28 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Salernitana 1-0 Sampdoria

Neither team can be described as particularly attack-minded this season, as both struggle to create scoring chances in the attacking third, therefore a low-scoring game is expected on Tuesday. Salernitana have a psychological advantage due to recent victories against Sampdoria, but neither team go into this match as clear favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Sampdoria
41.21% ( 0.01)	26.85%	31.94% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.64% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.63% (

-0)

54.37% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.25% (

-0)

75.75%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.01% (

0.01)

25.98% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.99% (

0.01)

61% (

-0.01)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.42% (

-0.01)

31.58% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.02% (

-0.01)

67.98% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 41.2%

Sampdoria 31.94%

Draw 26.84%

Salernitana	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.2%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.84%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.94%