Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
2 - 2
Sassuolo

Candreva (52' pen.), Maggiore (90+1')
Pierozzi (26'), Maggiore (62'), Pirola (72'), Vignato (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lauriente (37'), Bajrami (44')
Lauriente (67'), Kumbulla (82'), Racic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Salernitana
Monday, April 1 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Udinese
Monday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Salernitana 1-2 Sassuolo

The visitors are certainly far from their best, and have been throughout the entirety of the Serie A campaign thus far, but even without their talisman Berardi, Sassuolo do have the superior quality to get past the basement side on Friday and take a huge step towards survival with a return to winning ways on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Sassuolo
32.74% ( 0.71)	24.71% ( 0.25)	42.56% ( -0.95)

Both teams to score 57.94% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.94% (

-0.88)

45.07% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.59% (

-0.85)

67.41% (

0.85)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.56% (

0.02)

26.45% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.38% (

0.02)

61.62% (

-0.01)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

-0.8)

21.23% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.87% (

-1.26)

54.13% (

1.26)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 32.74%

Sassuolo 42.56%

Draw 24.71%

Salernitana	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.74%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.56%