Major League Soccer

Jun 18, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Stanford Stadium

Earthquakes
0 - 0
Portland

Cowell (51'), Marie (54'), Thompson (90+1')

Moreno (18'), Zuparic (44'), Miller (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, June 11 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 1-0 Dallas
Monday, June 12 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Portland Timbers

The Quakes' home form has been excellent this season, and despite letting in a goal in each of their last three matches at PayPal Park, they have found a way to outscore their opponents more often than not. The visitors, on the other hand, have struggled for results on the road, and coming up against the side with the best home record in the Western Conference does not bode well for their chances in this one.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 22.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Portland Timbers
54% ( -4.05)	23.9% ( 1.31)	22.09% ( 2.73)

Both teams to score 51.92% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.03% (

-2.11)

48.97% (

2.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.94% (

-1.94)

71.05% (

1.94)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.96% (

-2.2)

18.04% (

2.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.06% (

-3.9)

48.94% (

3.9)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.34% (

1.58)

36.65% (

-1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.56% (

1.55)

73.44% (

-1.56)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 54%

Portland Timbers 22.09%

Draw 23.9%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.58) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.52) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.78) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.42) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.54) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.43% Total : 54%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.63) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.9%	0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.81) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.53) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.22) Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.09%