Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 9, 2024 at 2pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Frosinone

Thorstvedt (58')
Thorstvedt (23'), Doig (32'), Lauriente (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ghedjemis (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 3 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone

The home side could eke out maximum points on Saturday, thus cutting Frosinone's four-point advantage to one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sassuolo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sassuolo.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Frosinone
45.19% ( 0.32)	24.37% ( -0.08)	30.44% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 58.07% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57% (

0.25)

44.43% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.19% (

0.25)

66.8% (

-0.24)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.2% (

0.24)

19.8% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.13% (

0.39)

51.86% (

-0.38)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

-0.03)

27.59% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.88% (

-0.04)

63.12% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 45.19%

Frosinone 30.44%

Draw 24.36%

Sassuolo	Draw	Frosinone
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 45.19%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.36%	1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.44%