Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
2 - 1
Coventry

Walker-Peters (18'), Adams (38')
Downes (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bidwell (68')
Latibeaudiere (3'), Eccles (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Blackburn 0-0 Southampton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Coventry City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Southampton 2-2 Coventry City

Southampton are unlikely to fire a blank in front of goal in back-to-back matches, but the Saints' defensive fragility always gives their opposition a chance going the other way. Coventry have showcased their ability to produce shock results on the road in recent times, and we reckon that the Sky Blues will force a share of the spoils on the South Coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Coventry City
54.28% ( -3.15)	21.58% ( 1.1)	24.13% ( 2.06)

Both teams to score 62.42% (

-1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.71% (

-2.87)

36.28% (

2.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.59% (

-3.21)

58.41% (

3.22)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.54% (

-1.85)

13.46% (

1.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.55% (

-3.85)

40.45% (

3.85)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.13% (

0.05)

27.87% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.52% (

0.07)

63.48% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Southampton 54.29%

Coventry City 24.13%

Draw 21.58%

Southampton	Draw	Coventry City
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.44) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.48) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.3) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.3) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.85% Total : 54.29%	1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.58%	1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.66) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.42) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.6% Total : 24.13%