Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 27, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
0 - 4
Torino

Ekdal (11'), N'Zola (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wisniewski (24' og.), Ricci (72'), Ilic (76'), Karamoh (90+6')
Ilic (16'), Singo (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Spezia
Sunday, May 21 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Torino

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

As Torino are tough to beat when on the road, even taking one point could represent a good result for Spezia - providing Verona fail to get the better of Empoli on Sunday. Neither side scores freely, so a close contest is set to end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Torino
24.41% ( -0)	26.13% ( 0)	49.45% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.94% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.47% (

-0.02)

55.53% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.29% (

-0.01)

76.71% (

0.01)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.85% (

-0.01)

38.14% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.09% (

-0.01)

74.91% (

0.01)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.5% (

-0.01)

22.5% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93% (

-0.01)

56.06% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Spezia 24.41%

Torino 49.45%

Draw 26.12%

Spezia	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.99% 3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.43% 3-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.59% Total : 24.41%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.55% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 49.45%