MX23RW : Wednesday, June 12 15:34:37| >> :600:790311:790311:
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Fortuna Dusseldorf logo

St Pauli
2 - 2
Dusseldorf

Hartel (60' pen.), Boukhalfa (120+1')
Burchert (37'), Hurzeler (52'), Mets (97'), Saad (117'), Saliakas (117')
Hurzeler (0')
FT
(aet)
Vermeij (38' pen.), Tanaka (99')
Hoffmann (55')
Dusseldorf win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between St Pauli and Fortuna Dusseldorf, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dusseldorf 1-2 St Pauli
Saturday, January 27 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Dusseldorf 1-2 St Pauli
Saturday, January 27 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We say: St Pauli 2-1 Fortuna Dusseldorf

Having beaten Dusseldorf in the league away from home on Saturday, St Pauli will sense an amazing opportunity to reach only their second ever DFB-Pokal semi-final. However, the two-time champions are unlikely to make things easy for them. We expect St Pauli to continue their impressive season so far by narrowly dispatching Dusseldorf once again, though, with the prospect of facing another team from outside of the Bundesliga in the final four a distinct possibility. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%).

Result
St PauliDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
48.68% (0.172 0.17) 23.33% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 27.99% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 60.04% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.89% (0.087000000000003 0.09)41.11% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.5% (0.088000000000001 0.09)63.5% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91% (0.099999999999994 0.1)17.1% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (0.17400000000001 0.17)47.29% (-0.17 -0.17)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)27.58% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)63.11% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 48.68%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 27.99%
    Draw 23.32%
St PauliDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.99%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Dusseldorf

St Pauli
80.0%
Draw
17.1%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
2.9%
35
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Dusseldorf
1-2
St Pauli
Tzolis (83')
Tzolis (30'), de Wijs (65')
Hartel (16' pen., 26')
Vasilj (32'), Kemlein (51')
Aug 5, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
St Pauli
0-0
Dusseldorf
Metcalfe (52'), Hurzeler (53'), Sinani (90+5')
Mets (83')
Gavory (88')
May 13, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
St Pauli
0-0
Dusseldorf
Mets (39')
Hoffmann (53'), Ginczek (60'), Zimmermann (76'), Klarer (81')
Nov 5, 2022 12pm
May 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
St Pauli
2-0
Dusseldorf
Hartel (65'), Dzwigala (83')
Buchtmann (20'), Irvine (85')

Piotrowski (50'), Koutris (60')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
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Sunday, June 16
 
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Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
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Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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