St Pauli

3 - 1

Osnabruck

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 77.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 9.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a VfL Osnabruck win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.