Championship

Championship | Gameweek 3

Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 0
Watford

Vidigal (53')
McNally (29'), Wesley (52'), Thompson (77'), Johnson (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kone (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Watford 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Watford

This could emerge as one of the best fixtures of the weekend with both teams having put together squads capable of challenging for promotion. We can only predict a draw between two well-match sides, Stoke potentially being content if they can avoid a second defeat in succession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Watford
46.55% ( -0.06)	26.52% ( -0)	26.93% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 48.95% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.73% (

0.05)

55.27% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.5% (

0.05)

76.49% (

-0.05)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28% (

-0.01)

23.72% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.15% (

-0.01)

57.85% (

0.01)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.18% (

0.08)

35.82% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.4% (

0.08)

72.6% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 46.54%

Watford 26.93%

Draw 26.52%

Stoke City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.54%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 26.93%