Coupe de France | Round of 16

Feb 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
3 - 1
Le Havre

Bakwa (21'), Emegha (36'), Senaya (90')
Sissoko (31')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ayew (30')
Ayew (17'), N'Diaye (39')
Kuzyaev (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Strasbourg and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 PSG
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Le Havre

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Le Havre
Sunday, February 4 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Strasbourg 1-1 Le Havre (Strasbourg advance on penalties)

These sides are separated by a just single point in Ligue 1, with Strasbourg holding a slight edge in the top flight this season. We expect to see an even contest on Wednesday, but we are leaning towards the home side because of their consistent form lately and depth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Le Havre
40.07% ( -0.05)	26.49% ( -0)	33.44% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 52.2% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.42% (

0.01)

52.58% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.76% (

0.01)

74.24% (

-0.01)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.22% (

-0.02)

25.77% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.28% (

-0.03)

60.72% (

0.03)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32% (

0.05)

29.67% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27% (

0.05)

65.73% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 40.07%

Le Havre 33.44%

Draw 26.48%

Strasbourg	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 40.07%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.44%