Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Oct 6, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
1 - 2
Nantes

Sahi (90+2')
Mwanga (25'), Guilbert (33'), Perrin (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coco (50'), Moutoussamy (58')
Duverne (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Lens
Friday, September 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Strasbourg 1-1 Nantes

Mohamed's enforced absence will no doubt hamper Nantes' attacking proficiency, but a refreshed Abline still poses a threat to the Strasbourg backline, and consistency at the back has been hard to come by for the hosts. However, Strasbourg are very rarely kept at arm's length in the final third at the Stade de la Meinau, and while a home win is not beyond the realm of possibility, a point apiece seems the most likely outcome between two evenly-matched outfits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Nantes
43.79% ( 0)	27.36% ( -0)	28.84% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.75% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.58% (

0.01)

57.42% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.77% (

78.23% (

-0)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96% (

26.03% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.93% (

61.07% (

-0.01)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.55% (

35.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.79% (

72.21% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 43.78%

Nantes 28.84%

Draw 27.36%

Strasbourg	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 12.41% 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.78%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.36%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.05% Total : 28.84%