Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor

SV Darmstadt 98
1 - 3
RB Leipzig

Kempe (32' pen.)
Holland (47'), Klarer (49'), Nurnberger (60'), Skarke (67'), Maglica (68'), Muller (71')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Openda (1', 72'), Forsberg (24')
Raum (63'), Openda (68'), Kampl (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 0-2 RB Leipzig

Darmstadt would have taken confidence from picking up consecutive victories, but we think that they will come undone against a Leipzig side that have won their last two Bundesliga away matches without conceding a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98	Draw	RB Leipzig
26.61% ( 0.14)	22.69% ( -0.01)	50.7% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 61.11% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.83% (

0.18)

39.16% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.51% (

0.19)

61.49% (

-0.19)

SV Darmstadt 98 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

0.2)

27.55% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92% (

0.25)

63.07% (

-0.25)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.36% (

0.02)

15.64% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.34% (

0.04)

44.65% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

SV Darmstadt 98 26.61%

RB Leipzig 50.7%

Draw 22.68%

SV Darmstadt 98	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.61%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.68%	1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.74% 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 50.7%