Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

swissporarena

Switzerland
2 - 2
Romania

Amdouni (28', 41')
Fernandes (23'), Akanji (40'), Steffen (90+8')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mihaila (89', 90+2')
Hagi (26'), Sorescu (45+1'), Morutan (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro 2024 Qualifying clash between Switzerland and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Andorra 1-2 Switzerland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	3	9	9
2	Romania	3	3	7
3	Israel	3	-2	4
4	Kosovo	3	0	3
5	Andorra	3	-3	1
6	Belarus	3	-7	0

Romania

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Kosovo 0-0 Romania
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	3	9	9
2	Romania	3	3	7
3	Israel	3	-2	4
4	Kosovo	3	0	3
5	Andorra	3	-3	1
6	Belarus	3	-7	0

We said: Switzerland 2-0 Romania

An underwhelming visit to Andorra aside, Switzerland's record in recent qualifiers is impressive, and after beating Italy to Qatar 2022 they can move further down the road to neighbouring Germany, where the Euros will be staged next year. Romania may have improved markedly over the past 12 months, but a gulf in experience and quality exists between the Tricolorii and their Swiss hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Romania had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Romania win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Switzerland	Draw	Romania
43.93% ( 4.42)	21.71% ( -7.94)	34.36% ( 3.51)

Both teams to score 69.78% (

27.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16% (

34.59)

29.83% (

-34.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.01% (

32.49)

50.99% (

-32.49)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

17.33)

14.5% (

-17.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.5% (

25.77)

42.49% (

-25.77)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

19.32)

18.38% (

-19.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

24.97)

49.52% (

-24.97)

Score Analysis

Switzerland 43.93%

Romania 34.36%

Draw 21.71%

Switzerland	Draw	Romania
2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.75) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 2.49) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( -8.58) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -2.9) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( 3.16) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 1.78) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 1.81) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.69) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 1.12) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.82) Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -4.68) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 3.39) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( -9.34) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( 2.13) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.85) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -7.19) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 2.04) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 2.81) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -1.89) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.3) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 1.25) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 1.41) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.98) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.46) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.36%