Serie B | Gameweek 28

Mar 2, 2024 at 1pm UK

Stadio Libero Liberati

Ternana
1 - 3
Parma

Luperini (48')
Capuano (34'), de Boer (66'), Iannarilli (89')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bonny (7'), Benedyczak (19' pen.), Casasola (59' og.)
Partipilo (30'), Bonny (42'), Cyprien (65'), Circati (87'), Mihaila (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ternana

All competitions

Last Game: Palermo 2-3 Ternana
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 1-1 Cosenza
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
Ternana	Draw	Parma
31.36% ( -0.05)	27.3% ( -0)	41.34% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 49.06% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.71% (

-0.01)

56.29% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.67% (

-0.01)

77.32% (

0.01)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

-0.04)

32.97% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.45% (

-0.04)

69.55% (

0.04)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

0.02)

26.8% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

0.02)

62.09% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Ternana 31.36%

Parma 41.33%

Draw 27.3%

Ternana	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.36%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.3%	0-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.33%