Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 30, 2023 at 2pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
3 - 0
Bologna

Pereyra (23'), Lucca (48'), Payero (52')
Pereyra (45+2'), Success (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Urbanski (5'), Ferguson (45+3'), Freuler (63'), Zirkzee (72'), Fabbian (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Udinese
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna are a well-oiled machine under Thiago Motta, and it is not asking too much for the Rossoblu to post a fifth straight win to finish 2023 in fitting style. As Udinese lack a reliable finisher and are at a low ebb in terms of confidence, expect the away side to head home with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Bologna
42.17% ( 0.05)	26.24%	31.58% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 52.4% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.94% (

-0.02)

52.05% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.21% (

-0.01)

73.78% (

0.01)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.55% (

0.02)

24.44% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.12% (

0.03)

58.87% (

-0.03)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35% (

-0.04)

30.65% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11% (

-0.05)

66.89% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Udinese 42.17%

Bologna 31.58%

Draw 26.24%

Udinese	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.17%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.58%