Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
2 - 2
Sassuolo

Lucca (36'), Pereyra (55')
Ebosele (77'), Masina (90'), Pereyra (90+2')
Payero (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Berardi (75' pen., 88' pen.)
Holmgren Pedersen (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Udinese
Saturday, December 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Sassuolo
Monday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

All signs are pointing towards a draw in this one between two sides struggling for form at the bottom of Serie A. Sassuolo have failed to win on their last 10 trips to Udine, while the hosts have only won once all season, amassing the most draws in the division with nine, and another could be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Sassuolo
43.8% ( 0.65)	24.44% ( -0.22)	31.75% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 58.47% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.8% (

0.86)

44.2% (

-0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.42% (

0.83)

66.58% (

-0.84)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69% (

0.65)

20.3% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.32% (

1.03)

52.67% (

-1.03)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36% (

0.15)

26.64% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13% (

0.2)

61.87% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Udinese 43.81%

Sassuolo 31.75%

Draw 24.44%

Udinese	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.88% Total : 43.81%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.75%