La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
0 - 1
Alaves

Duro (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lopez (68')
Blanco (11'), Tenaglia (22'), Omorodion (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 4-2 Valencia
Monday, April 29 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 3-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia are in need of a win this weekend after two disappointing results, but Alaves are capable of making this a tricky match. That said, we are expecting Los Che to get the job done in front of their own fans, with Hugo Duro potentially adding to the 13 league goals that he has managed this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Alaves
43.35% ( 0.26)	29.58% ( -0.2)	27.07% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 40.99% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.6% (

0.56)

65.4% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.83% (

0.39)

84.17% (

-0.39)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.9% (

0.43)

30.1% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.76% (

0.51)

66.24% (

-0.51)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.64% (

0.28)

41.36% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.13% (

0.24)

77.87% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Valencia 43.35%

Alaves 27.07%

Draw 29.57%

Valencia	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 14.94% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 43.35%	1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.57%	0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.23% Total : 27.07%