Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 23, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
2 - 0
Cagliari

Ngonge (53'), Djuric (90')
Duda (45'), Suslov (56'), Ngonge (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Makoumbou (12'), Viola (56'), Sulemana (90+3')
Makoumbou (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, December 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hellas Verona 1-1 Cagliari

There is not a huge difference between these two sides when it comes to quality, and we are expecting a close match on Saturday. Cagliari have been poor on their travels, but Verona have won just once in Serie A at home this season, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Cagliari
35.14% ( -0.17)	27.91% ( -0.01)	36.95% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 48.04% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.06% (

0.03)

57.94% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.36% (

0.02)

78.64% (

-0.03)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74% (

-0.1)

31.25% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.4% (

-0.11)

67.6% (

0.11)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.88% (

0.12)

30.12% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.74% (

0.15)

66.26% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 35.13%

Cagliari 36.94%

Draw 27.9%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.13%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.94%