Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
1 - 4
RB Leipzig

Wittek (7')
Broschinski (38'), Loosli (66'), Ordets (77')
Kwarteng (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Olmo (30'), Openda (68'), Ordets (71' og.), Poulsen (72')
Haidara (45+3'), Simakan (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: VfL Bochum 2-3 RB Leipzig

Leipzig's form has not been ideal in 2024, with just seven points to show for their efforts in the past seven games, but the signs have been there that they can put a good run together. Everything came tumbling down for Bochum last week as they conceded five to an out-of-form Gladbach side, and while goals are likely in this one, another defeat for the hosts is too. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	RB Leipzig
27.86% ( -0.82)	22.15% ( -0.24)	49.99% ( 1.06)

Both teams to score 64.2% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.41% (

0.59)

35.59% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.36% (

0.65)

57.64% (

-0.65)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16% (

-0.23)

24.84% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.57% (

-0.32)

59.43% (

0.32)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.41% (

0.58)

14.59% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.33% (

1.1)

42.67% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 27.86%

RB Leipzig 49.99%

Draw 22.15%

VfL Bochum	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.86%	1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.15%	1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.99%