La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
1 - 2
Atletico

Sorloth (50')
Capoue (27'), Parejo (58'), Mosquera (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Witsel (9'), Niguez (87')
Griezmann (26'), Barrios (62'), Niguez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, March 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 0-3 Barcelona
Sunday, March 17 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Villarreal are flying at the moment, and we are finding it difficult to predict the hosts to lose here, especially considering Atletico's away struggles. The Red and Whites will be determined to avoid a third straight league defeat, meanwhile, and we can see the points being shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Atletico Madrid
44.82% ( 0.29)	24.71% ( 0.21)	30.46% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 56.9% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.03% (

-1.13)

45.97% (

1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.72% (

-1.08)

68.28% (

1.08)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41% (

-0.34)

20.59% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.87% (

-0.54)

53.13% (

0.54)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.65% (

-0.88)

28.35% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.91% (

-1.13)

64.09% (

1.14)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 44.82%

Atletico Madrid 30.46%

Draw 24.71%

Villarreal	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.82%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.71%	0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.46%