Championship

Championship | Gameweek 27

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
4 - 0
QPR

Dele-Bashiru (1'), Louza (20'), Martins (38'), Issouf Bayo (43')
Morris (45+1')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Armstrong (67'), Field (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-1 Watford
Saturday, July 22 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 QPR
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

We said: Watford 2-0 Queens Park Rangers

Watford are set for a new era under the tutelage of Ismael, and the home faithful can expect a fast start from their side against a QPR team who were thrashed recently at Oxford United. The R's need a response after their 5-0 loss at the Kassam Stadium last time out, but we are predicting a defeat for Ainsworth's men to start their second-tier campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
49.71% ( -2.38)	25.7% ( 0.3)	24.59% ( 2.08)

Both teams to score 49.35% (

1.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.23% (

0.64)

53.77% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.75% (

0.54)

75.24% (

-0.54)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34% (

-0.75)

21.66% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.21% (

-1.16)

54.79% (

1.16)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99% (

2.3)

37.01% (

-2.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2% (

2.22)

73.8% (

-2.22)

Score Analysis

Watford 49.71%

Queens Park Rangers 24.59%

Draw 25.69%

Watford	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.6) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.68) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.71%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.2) Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.59%