Championship

Championship | Gameweek 16

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
5 - 0
Rotherham

Rajovic (10', 45+4'), Kayembe (54'), Ince (86'), Martins (90+4')
Porteous (58'), Asprilla (61')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cafu (45'), Taylor (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Watford
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rotherham United

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Watford 2-1 Rotherham United

Rotherham may benefit from Watford pushing for maximum points in this fixture, freeing up space at the back. However, the Hornets' superior quality should shine through, particularly at Vicarage Road when they are aware that draws are becoming less valuable. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.41%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Rotherham United
66.21% ( -0.06)	20.95% ( 0.04)	12.85% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 42.93% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.54% (

-0.11)

51.46% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.73% (

-0.09)

73.27% (

0.1)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.26% (

-0.05)

14.73% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.05% (

-0.11)

42.95% (

0.11)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.35% (

-0.03)

49.65% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.59% (

-0.02)

84.41% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Watford 66.2%

Rotherham United 12.85%

Draw 20.95%

Watford	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 14% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 66.2%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 20.95%	0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 12.85%