Championship

Championship | Gameweek 20

Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 1
Southampton

Healey (90+6')
Porteous (59'), Kone (61'), Hoedt (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Adams (56')
Charles (34'), Armstrong (45'), Armstrong (87'), Fraser (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Watford
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Watford 1-2 Southampton

With both teams very much in form, this is a tough match to predict. Watford are growing in confidence, particularly at home, but Southampton have scored a lot of late decisive goals this season and we feel that a similar outcome may materialise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Southampton
45.6% ( 0.05)	23.41% ( 0.19)	30.98% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 61.75% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.28% (

-1.05)

39.72% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.92% (

-1.1)

62.07% (

1.09)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.25% (

-0.39)

17.75% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.57% (

-0.68)

48.43% (

0.68)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07% (

-0.66)

24.92% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45% (

-0.92)

59.55% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Watford 45.6%

Southampton 30.98%

Draw 23.41%

Watford	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.85% Total : 45.6%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.41%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.98%