Given the amount of changes that both managers are likely to make for this tie, we expect to see a relatively open, free-flowing encounter play out in Wiesbaden. While the visitors' lack of defensive depth and star quality in that area of the pitch could leave them exposed on occasions, they should have more than enough attacking firepower to call upon to avoid defeat, meaning that their hopes of making German cup history would remain alive for another round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 22.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Wehen Wiesbaden win it was 2-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Wehen Wiesbaden	Draw	RB Leipzig
22.03% ( -0.27)	22.54% ( 0.05)	55.42% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 56.25% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.82% (

-0.55)

43.18% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.42% (

-0.55)

65.58% (

0.54)

Wehen Wiesbaden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53% (

-0.55)

33.46% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.9% (

-0.6)

70.1% (

0.6)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.54% (

-0.12)

15.45% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.68% (

-0.23)

44.31% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Wehen Wiesbaden 22.03%

RB Leipzig 55.42%

Draw 22.54%

Wehen Wiesbaden	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 22.03%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.54%	1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 55.42%