Championship

Championship | Gameweek 27

Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Hawthorns

West Brom
4 - 1
Blackburn

Fellows (11'), Thomas-Asante (30', 63'), Hyam (33' og.)
Bartley (40'), Kipre (43')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Garrett (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: West Brom 4-1 Aldershot
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Blackburn 5-2 Cambridge
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Blackburn Rovers

Although West Brom are light in terms of attacking options due to Diangana's AFCON involvement and Sarmiento's departure, the hosts still have a first-choice defence available, which has been key to so many of their wins at The Hawthorns this season. Blackburn have lost their last four Championship away matches - conceding 13 goals in the process - and we cannot imagine Rovers earning anything on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
57.51% ( -0.11)	21.56% ( 0.03)	20.92% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 57.98% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.88% (

-0.05)

40.12% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.51% (

-0.05)

62.49% (

0.05)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.25% (

-0.05)

13.75% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.97% (

-0.1)

41.03% (

0.1)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.22% (

0.04)

32.78% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.66% (

0.04)

69.34% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

West Bromwich Albion 57.51%

Blackburn Rovers 20.92%

Draw 21.56%

West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 57.51%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.56%	1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 20.92%