Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Hawthorns

West Brom
2 - 0
Bristol City

Fellows (45'), Wallace (50')
Townsend (28'), Yokuslu (71'), Kipre (85'), Palmer (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Knight (45+1'), Knight (45'), Gardner-Hickman (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-4 West Brom
Sunday, March 10 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Bristol City

West Brom have added attacking flair to their defensive stability since the turn of the calendar year and should be very confident of another home victory on Saturday. Bristol City are in the doldrums following a poor run of form and at risk of being swept aside at The Hawthorns as the Baggies chase down the Premier League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 49.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Bristol City
49.2% ( 0.02)	25.5% ( -0.01)	25.29% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.59% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.53% (

0.02)

52.47% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.86% (

0.02)

74.14% (

-0.02)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.65% (

0.02)

21.34% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.69% (

0.03)

54.3% (

-0.03)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.31% (

-0)

35.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.54% (

-0)

72.45% (

-0)

Score Analysis

West Bromwich Albion 49.2%

Bristol City 25.29%

Draw 25.5%

West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 49.2%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 25.29%