Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 12

Nov 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Wind (9'), Rogerio (66')
Svanberg (35'), Zesiger (45+4'), Lacroix (59'), Casteels (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Poulsen (52')
Openda (33'), Rose (34'), Simons (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-0 Wolfsburg
Friday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Sunday, November 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg's league form dropped off a cliff prior to the international break, so Kovac will be hoping that the timing of it has worked in his side's favour. They will take some confidence from beating Leipzig in the DFB-Pokal last month. However, Die Roten Bullen have become a consistent outfit under Rose, with Openda only one goal from moving into double figures in the Bundesliga. We expect the visitors to have a little bit too much firepower in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	RB Leipzig
23.72% ( -0)	21.97%	54.31% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 60.52% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.43% (

-0)

38.56% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.14% (

-0)

60.86% (

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.55% (

-0.01)

29.45% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.55% (

-0.01)

65.45% (

0.01)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.77% (

14.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.03% (

41.97% (

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 23.72%

RB Leipzig 54.31%

Draw 21.97%

Wolfsburg	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 23.72%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.97%	1-2 @ 9.74% 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.33% 0-3 @ 5.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 3.09% 0-4 @ 2.52% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.89% 1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.31%