FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Replays

Jan 16, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Molineux Stadium

Wolves
3 - 2
Brentford

Semedo (36'), Frazer (72'), Cunha (105+5' pen.)
Kilman (115')

FT
(aet)

Collins (13'), Maupay (52')
Peart-Harris (86')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Wolves
Friday, January 5 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brentford

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Wolves
Friday, January 5 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Brentford
36.31% ( 0.02)	24.75% ( 0.01)	38.94% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 58.62% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.48% (

-0.04)

44.53% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.11% (

-0.04)

66.89% (

0.04)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

-0.01)

24.12% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.58% (

-0.01)

58.42% (

0.01)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

-0.03)

22.74% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.58% (

-0.05)

56.42% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 36.31%

Brentford 38.94%

Draw 24.75%

Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Brentford
2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 36.31%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.75%	1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.94%