Saint-Etienne have home advantage and finished higher than their opponents in the regular season, so Les Verts should be confident of progressing into the playoff final.
Rodez scrapped through the last stage on penalties following an energy-draining 90 minutes, and we reckon that Les Sangs will run out of fuel on their quest for promotion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Saint-Etienne in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Saint-Etienne.
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