Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Rovaniemen Palloseura had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Rovaniemen Palloseura win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.