Australian A-League | Gameweek 26

Apr 27, 2024 at 10.45am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Victory
3 - 4
Western Sydney

Machach (4'), Arzani (15', 55')
Ikonomidis (7'), Chapman (17')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Brook (20'), Milanovic (35'), Hammond (73'), Priestman (87')
Priestman (19'), Clisby (45+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 0-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, April 20 at 8.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 20 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.74%) and 1-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
52.56% ( -0.05)	21.39% ( 0.02)	26.05% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 65.32% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.59% (

-0.04)

33.41% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.8% (

-0.05)

55.19% (

0.05)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.99% (

-0.03)

13% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.46% (

-0.06)

39.53% (

0.06)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.08% (

24.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.46% (

59.54% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 52.56%

Western Sydney Wanderers 26.05%

Draw 21.39%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 6.74% 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 52.56%	1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.39%	1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.05%