AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 5, 2023 at 2pm UK

Asgabat Stadiony

Ahal
1 - 2
Al-Ain

Tagayew (35')
Geldiyew (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Rahimi (13' pen.), Atzili (32' pen.)
Loulendo (7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ahal and Al-Ain.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ahal

Last Game: Al Fayha 3-1 Ahal
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

Al-Ain

Last Game: Al-Ain 1-3 Pakhtakor
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 72.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 12.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-3 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for an Ahal win it was 2-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.

Result
Ahal	Draw	Al-Ain
12.06% ( 2.26)	15.91% ( 1.04)	72.04% ( -3.3)

Both teams to score 58.23% (

4.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.72% (

1.66)

30.29% (

-1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.47% (

1.96)

51.54% (

-1.96)

Ahal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.86% (

5.1)

37.14% (

-5.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.07% (

4.71)

73.93% (

-4.71)

Al-Ain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.64% (

-0.26)

7.36% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.44% (

-0.7)

26.57% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Ahal 12.06%

Al-Ain 72.04%

Draw 15.91%

Ahal	Draw	Al-Ain
2-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.55) 1-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.31) Other @ 1.85% Total : 12.06%	1-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.67) 0-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.32) Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.91%	0-2 @ 9.31% ( -1.18) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 8.09% ( -1.16) 1-3 @ 8.02% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.79) 0-4 @ 5.28% ( -0.84) 1-4 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.53) 0-5 @ 2.75% ( -0.49) 1-5 @ 2.73% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.32) 2-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.15) 0-6 @ 1.2% ( -0.23) 1-6 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 4% Total : 72.04%