AFC Champions League | Round of 16

Feb 20, 2023 at 6pm UK

King Fahd Stadium

Al-Hilal
3 - 1
Shabab Al-Ahli

Ighalo (17'), Jang (73'), Vietto (79')
Abdul Hamid (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Khribin (86')
Khribin (46'), Naser (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Al-Hilal and Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Al-Hilal
Saturday, February 11 at 7pm in Club World Cup

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Last Game: Foolad 1-1 Shabab Al-Ahli
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-Hilal	Draw	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
50.15% ( 0.13)	24.91% ( -0.03)	24.93% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 52.05% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.61% (

0.06)

50.38% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.67% (

0.06)

72.32% (

-0.06)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

0.08)

20.1% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.65% (

0.12)

52.34% (

-0.12)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.14% (

-0.04)

34.85% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.41% (

-0.04)

71.59% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Al-Hilal 50.15%

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 24.93%

Draw 24.9%

Al-Hilal	Draw	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.15%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.93%