AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 29, 2023 at 2pm UK

Thammasat Stadium (Pathum Thani)

Bangkok Utd
1 - 0
Lion City

Poomchantuek (86')
Thongsong (31')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Henrique (24'), Pires (90'), Lestienne (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Bangkok United and Lion City Sailors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bangkok United

Last Game: Bangkok Utd 1-1 Kitchee
Wednesday, November 8 at 12pm in AFC Champions League

Lion City Sailors

Last Game: Lion City 2-0 Jeonbuk
Wednesday, November 8 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangkok United win with a probability of 69.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Lion City Sailors had a probability of 12.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bangkok United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Lion City Sailors win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bangkok United would win this match.

Result
Bangkok United	Draw	Lion City Sailors
69.52% ( 1.35)	17.5% ( -0.53)	12.98% ( -0.82)

Both teams to score 54.83% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.12% (

0.56)

35.88% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.04% (

0.61)

57.96% (

-0.62)

Bangkok United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.7% (

0.46)

9.29% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.62% (

1.09)

31.37% (

-1.1)

Lion City Sailors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.45% (

-0.83)

39.55% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.76% (

-0.78)

76.24% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Bangkok United 69.52%

Lion City Sailors 12.98%

Draw 17.5%

Bangkok United	Draw	Lion City Sailors
2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.53% Total : 69.52%	1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.5%	1-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.69% Total : 12.98%