AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 13, 2023 at 8am UK

Mckinley Hill Football Field

Kaya
1 - 3
Incheon United

Rota (53')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Park (12'), Woo-Jin (25'), Do-Hyuk (90+4' pen.)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Kaya and Incheon United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kaya

Last Game: Shandong 6-1 Kaya
Tuesday, November 28 at 12pm in AFC Champions League

Incheon United

Last Game: Incheon United 2-1 Yokohama
Tuesday, November 28 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaya win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Incheon United had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kaya win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Incheon United win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Kaya	Draw	Incheon United
52.23% ( 13.45)	21.81% ( -2.29)	25.96% ( -11.16)

Both teams to score 63.65% (

2.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.45% (

5.83)

35.55% (

-5.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.39% (

6.17)

57.6% (

-6.17)

Kaya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.15% (

7.59)

13.85% (

-7.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.77% (

13.22)

41.23% (

-13.22)

Incheon United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.88% (

-3.85)

26.12% (

3.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.81% (

-5.47)

61.18% (

5.47)

Score Analysis

Kaya 52.23%

Incheon United 25.96%

Draw 21.81%

Kaya	Draw	Incheon United
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.99) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 1.41) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 1.89) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 1.75) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.92) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 1.41) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 1.18) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.81) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.7) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.3) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.57) Other @ 2.88% Total : 52.23%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( -1.44) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -1.16) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.81%	1-2 @ 6.44% ( -1.85) 0-1 @ 4.86% ( -2.31) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -2.12) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -1.27) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -1.24) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.59) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.96%