AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 5, 2023 at 4pm UK

Azadi Stadium

Persepolis
1 - 2
Al-Duhail

Zahedi (7')
Sarlak (26'), Gvelesiani (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Muntari (9'), Olunga (83')
Mohammad (43'), Musa (48'), Aymen (82'), Zakaria (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Persepolis and Al-Duhail.

Form, Standings, Stats

Persepolis

Last Game: Al-Nassr 0-0 Persepolis
Monday, November 27 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

Al-Duhail

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al-Duhail 0-1 Umm Salal
Friday, December 1 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Persepolis win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Persepolis win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Al-Duhail win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Persepolis	Draw	Al-Duhail
38.95% ( -0.09)	24.32% ( 0.02)	36.74% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 60.24% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.56% (

-0.11)

42.44% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.15% (

-0.11)

64.85% (

0.11)

Persepolis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18% (

-0.09)

21.82% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.96% (

-0.13)

55.04% (

0.14)

Al-Duhail Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.06% (

-0.02)

22.94% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.28% (

-0.02)

56.72% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Persepolis 38.95%

Al-Duhail 36.74%

Draw 24.31%

Persepolis	Draw	Al-Duhail
2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.95%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.31%	1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 36.74%