AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 27, 2023 at 6pm UK

Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium

Sepahan
1 - 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Ahmadzadeh (4')
Ahmadzadeh (8'), Rezaeian (82'), Niazmand (90+12')
Hosseinnezhad (43'), Mohammadi (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bayesh (24'), Abdul-Amir (27'), Atchou (81'), Saadoun (82'), Mashaan (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Sepahan and Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sepahan

Last Game: Sepahan 9-0 AGMK
Monday, November 6 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Last Game: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-0 Al Ittihad
Monday, November 6 at 12pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sepahan win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sepahan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sepahan in this match.

Result
Sepahan	Draw	Al Quwa Al Jawiya
55.07% ( -0.21)	24.98% ( 0.06)	19.95% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 45.85% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.49% (

-0.05)

55.5% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.31% (

-0.04)

76.68% (

0.04)

Sepahan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.87% (

-0.11)

20.13% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.6% (

-0.17)

52.4% (

0.17)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.41% (

0.13)

42.59% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.05% (

0.11)

78.94% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Sepahan 55.06%

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 19.95%

Draw 24.98%

Sepahan	Draw	Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1-0 @ 13.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.48% Total : 55.06%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.95%