AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 24, 2023 at 11am UK

Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Ulsan
3 - 1
Johor Darul

Jung (5'), Ludwigson (12', 18')
Jung (21'), Kim (25'), Lee (86'), Jang (90+1')
Kim (36')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Bergson (53')
Davies (46'), Lowry (54'), Baharudin (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ulsan Hyundai and Johor Darul Ta'zim.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ulsan Hyundai

Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 Ulsan
Tuesday, October 3 at 11am in AFC Champions League

Johor Darul Ta'zim

Last Game: Pathum Utd 2-4 Johor Darul
Tuesday, October 3 at 1pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Johor Darul Ta'zim win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Ulsan Hyundai had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Ulsan Hyundai win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Ulsan Hyundai	Draw	Johor Darul Ta'zim
30.33% ( -0.73)	24.25% ( -0.01)	45.42% ( 0.73)

Both teams to score 58.39% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.02% (

-0.32)

43.97% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.64% (

-0.31)

66.36% (

0.31)

Ulsan Hyundai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.55% (

-0.63)

27.44% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.07% (

-0.82)

62.93% (

0.83)

Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.48% (

0.18)

19.51% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.6% (

0.3)

51.4% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Ulsan Hyundai 30.33%

Johor Darul Ta'zim 45.42%

Draw 24.25%

Ulsan Hyundai	Draw	Johor Darul Ta'zim
2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.33%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.42%