Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.56%. A win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Ventforet Kofu win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Ventforet Kofu	Draw	Melbourne City
23.43% ( 0.4)	22% ( 0.07)	54.56% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 60.01% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.93% (

0.13)

39.06% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.61% (

0.13)

61.39% (

-0.13)

Ventforet Kofu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.04% (

0.4)

29.96% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.93% (

0.48)

66.07% (

-0.48)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.68% (

-0.11)

14.32% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.85% (

-0.21)

42.14% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Ventforet Kofu 23.43%

Melbourne City 54.56%

Draw 21.99%

Ventforet Kofu	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 23.43%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.99%	1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.3% Total : 54.56%