Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium

Kyrgyzstan
0 - 2
Saudi Arabia

Brauzman (22'), Mischenko (42')
Akmatov (9'), Merk (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kanoo (35'), Al-Ghamdi (84')
Al-Shehri (63')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Asian Cup clash between Kyrgyzstan and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyrgyzstan

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Thailand 2-0 Kyrgyzstan
Tuesday, January 16 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Thailand	1	2	3
2	Saudi Arabia	1	1	3
3	Oman	1	-1	0
4	Kyrgyzstan	1	-2	0

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-1 Oman
Tuesday, January 16 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Thailand	1	2	3
2	Saudi Arabia	1	1	3
3	Oman	1	-1	0
4	Kyrgyzstan	1	-2	0

We said: Kyrgyzstan 0-2 Saudi Arabia

Their opening game victory may have felt like a great escape, but Saudi Arabia showed they have the depth and patience to win in various ways, and those qualities seem to be missing right now for Kyrgyzstan. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 11.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.11%) and 0-3 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Saudi Arabia in this match.

Result
Kyrgyzstan	Draw	Saudi Arabia
11.02% ( -0.02)	18.98% ( -0.01)	70.01% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 43.29% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.21% (

0.01)

47.79% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.03% (

69.98%

Kyrgyzstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.45% (

-0.03)

50.55% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.97% (

-0.02)

85.04% (

0.03)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.54% (

0.01)

12.46% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.59% (

0.02)

38.41% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Kyrgyzstan 11.02%

Saudi Arabia 70%

Draw 18.98%

Kyrgyzstan	Draw	Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 4.3% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.05% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 11.02%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 18.98%	0-2 @ 13.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 13.11% 0-3 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.47% 0-4 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.06% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.4% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.84% Total : 70%