America Mineiro

3 - 2

Bahia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.