Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Criciuma
59.14% ( -0.01)	22.77% ( 0)	18.08% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.16% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.53% (

-0.01)

49.47% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.49% (

-0.01)

71.5% (

0.01)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.61% (

-0)

16.38% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.98% (

-0.01)

46.01% (

0.01)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.79% (

-0)

41.2% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.26% (

-0)

77.74%

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 59.13%

Criciuma 18.08%

Draw 22.77%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Criciuma
1-0 @ 12.2% 2-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.91% 4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 59.13%	1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.77%	0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.8% 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.94% Total : 18.08%