Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 1
West Brom

Tella (75'), Twine (87')
Maatsen (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Furlong (7')
Furlong (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: West Brom 4-0 Chesterfield
Tuesday, January 17 at 8pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burnley 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Burnley have been unbeatable at home so far this season but now clash with a West Brom side who are firing under Corberan after a difficult spell with Bruce. The Baggies face their toughest assignment since Corberan took charge on Friday night at Turf Moor and you get the feeling they would take a respectable point to keep their unbeaten run going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
56.37% ( 0.02)	23.94% ( -0.01)	19.69% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.39% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.08% (

0.03)

51.92% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.33% (

0.02)

73.66% (

-0.02)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.75% (

0.02)

18.25% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.7% (

0.03)

49.3% (

-0.03)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.19% (

40.81% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.62% (

-0)

77.38% (

Score Analysis

Burnley 56.36%

West Bromwich Albion 19.69%

Draw 23.93%

Burnley	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.36%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.93%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.69%