Championship

Championship | Gameweek 31

Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ricoh Arena

Coventry
1 - 1
Luton

Godden (45+1' pen.)
Wilson-Esbrand (80'), McFadzean (86')
Wilson-Esbrand (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lockyer (1')
Burke (44'), Osho (45'), Bell (64'), Morris (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Coventry
Friday, February 3 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-0 Luton
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Coventry City 1-1 Luton Town

Having been stunned by Grimsby in the FA Cup, Luton's season could now go several ways. For now, though, Edwards will want to steady the ship, and we feel that the visitors will be more than content with a point if it becomes a possibility on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Luton Town
36.74% ( 0.07)	28% ( -0.01)	35.26% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 47.77% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.72% (

0.04)

58.28% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.09% (

0.03)

78.91% (

-0.03)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58% (

0.06)

30.42% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.38% (

0.07)

66.62% (

-0.07)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.65% (

-0.01)

31.35% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.28% (

-0.02)

67.72% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Coventry City 36.74%

Luton Town 35.26%

Draw 28%

Coventry City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 36.74%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 28%	0-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.26%