Championship

Championship | Gameweek 24

Jan 16, 2021 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 1
Rotherham

Buchanan (28'), Bielik (38')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lindsay (86')
Wiles (40')

Wayne Rooney admits Derby were "outfought" in Rotherham defeat

County were beaten by a late Rotherham goal.

Jan 16, 18:14

The Match

Match Report

Jamie Lindsay scored the only goal of a cagey game.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rotherham United in this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Rotherham United
35.04%	27.85%	37.1%

Both teams to score 48.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.27%

57.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.53%

78.47%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79%

31.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.45%

67.55%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08%

29.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.98%

66.02%

Score Analysis

Derby County 35.04%

Rotherham United 37.1%

Draw 27.85%

Derby County	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.04%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.1%