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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Stoke City |
33.82% | 28.35% | 37.82% |
Both teams to score 46.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.35% | 59.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.03% | 79.97% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.99% | 33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.41% | 69.59% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% | 30.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.36% | 66.64% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.82% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 11.94% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 7.11% 1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |