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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
41.68% | 27.69% | 30.62% |
Both teams to score 47.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.04% | 57.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.34% | 78.65% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.6% | 27.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.13% | 62.87% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.62% | 34.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.91% | 71.09% |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.37% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.26% Total : 30.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |