Championship

Championship | Gameweek 6

Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Swansea

McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

Last Six:

Last Game: Reading 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Huddersfield Town	4	-1	3
23	Middlesbrough	5	-2	3
24	Coventry City	2	-1	1

Swansea City

Last Six:

Last Game: Swansea 0-2 Luton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Birmingham City	5	-1	5
20	Swansea City	5	-4	5
21	Stoke City	5	-3	4

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Swansea City

Middlesbrough will be lacking confidence given their tough start to the campaign, but, with home advantage against a vulnerable Swansea side, we back Chris Wilder's men to put their first three-point haul on the board at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Swansea City
52.35% ( 0.13)	25.41% ( -0.04)	22.23% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 47.64% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.28% (

0.08)

54.72% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.96% (

0.06)

76.04% (

-0.06)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.08% (

0.09)

20.92% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.35% (

0.13)

53.65% (

-0.13)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.24% (

-0.04)

39.76% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.57% (

-0.04)

76.43% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 52.34%

Swansea City 22.23%

Draw 25.41%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 13.01% 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 52.34%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 22.23%