Championship

Championship | Gameweek 8

Sep 4, 2022 at 12pm UK

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Reading
2 - 1
Stoke

Joao (2', 57' pen.)
Hutchinson (6'), Lumley (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wilmot (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Reading and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

Last Six:

Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-0 Reading
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Blackburn Rovers	8	-2	12
7	Reading	7	-3	12
8	Sunderland	7	3	11

Stoke City

Last Six:

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Swansea
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Blackpool	7	-2	8
19	Stoke City	7	-2	8
20	Birmingham City	8	-3	8

We said: Reading 2-1 Stoke City

Stoke will play with the enthusiasm which comes naturally under a new manager and will push Reading all the way on Sunday. However, we cannot ignore the Royals' perfect home record, leading us to predict a hard-fought triumph for Ince's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Reading in this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Stoke City
28.65% ( 0.1)	27.98% ( 0.06)	43.37% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 45.93% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.32% (

-0.17)

59.68% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.01% (

-0.13)

79.99% (

0.13)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.18% (

-0.02)

36.82% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.39% (

-0.02)

73.61% (

0.02)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

-0.16)

27.3% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.25% (

-0.21)

62.75% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Reading 28.64%

Stoke City 43.37%

Draw 27.97%

Reading	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 28.64%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.97%	0-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 43.37%